Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.166486 0.199129 0.235875 0.280215 0.332174 0.391036 0.462674
2025-03-09 0.121873 0.164588 0.218158 0.289882 0.382954 0.499151 0.654656
2025-03-16 0.090359 0.133918 0.193214 0.279030 0.399087 0.559951 0.790435
2025-03-23 0.074875 0.119774 0.185115 0.285804 0.435377 0.647279 0.967527
2025-03-30 0.063376 0.108465 0.178052 0.291315 0.468506 0.731810 1.148192
2025-04-06 0.052838 0.096301 0.167127 0.288343 0.487133 0.795552 1.303534
2025-04-13 0.044720 0.086425 0.157895 0.285994 0.505314 0.859149 1.463699
2025-04-20 0.040064 0.081638 0.156185 0.295427 0.543101 0.956693 1.686436
2025-04-27 0.038695 0.082595 0.164483 0.323003 0.614399 1.115591 2.024492
2025-05-04 0.035432 0.079269 0.164359 0.335094 0.659408 1.233809 2.304098
2025-05-11 0.030628 0.071945 0.155507 0.329461 0.671145 1.294594 2.488570
2025-05-18 0.025705 0.063447 0.143017 0.314909 0.664039 1.320220 2.611494
2025-05-25 0.021265 0.055326 0.130365 0.298904 0.653427 1.340597 2.731458
2025-06-01 0.019606 0.053368 0.130599 0.309895 0.698374 1.471132 3.072546
2025-06-08 0.016573 0.047450 0.121086 0.298398 0.695279 1.507438 3.234306
2025-06-15 0.015179 0.045392 0.120074 0.305611 0.732536 1.627386 3.571740
2025-06-22 0.013866 0.043281 0.118591 0.311474 0.767380 1.745401 3.915322
2025-06-29 0.012243 0.039974 0.113622 0.308311 0.781434 1.820917 4.177165
2025-07-06 0.010864 0.037068 0.109196 0.305813 0.796608 1.899999 4.453078
2025-07-13 0.010176 0.036096 0.109713 0.315849 0.842549 2.050488 4.895582
2025-07-20 0.010283 0.037632 0.117292 0.345181 0.938381 2.320521 5.622060
2025-07-27 0.009740 0.036966 0.118611 0.358038 0.994732 2.505381 6.172484
2025-08-03 0.008622 0.034134 0.113267 0.352048 1.002807 2.579232 6.477033